COVID-19 third wave will end in April, poll rallies can be super spreader, warns IIT-Kanpur Professor

Kanpur: Professor Manindra Agarwal of IIT Kanpur has said that the third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic will end by April. The scientist, however, warned that rallies during elections can prove to be a super spreader for Corona infection, as it is not easy to follow the Covid guidelines in such gatherings.

Prof Agarwal said that as a large number of people reach the election rallies without following the guidelines, the risk of infection increases to a great extent. In such a situation, there is a need to be careful. If there are rallies, the transition can pick up ahead of time.
According to Prof Agarwal, who bases his predictions of the epidemic on the basis of his mathematical model, the third wave will come in India in January and in March, 1.8 lakh cases can come daily.

“It will be a matter of relief that only 1 in 10 will need a hospital. Two lakh beds will be needed in the middle of March,” he said. He further said that 80 per cent of the population in Africa and India is below 45 years of age. Natural immunity is up to 80 per cent in both countries.

In both countries, the delta variant has been due to mutants. Like South Africa, India is also less likely to have a major impact, he claimed. A total of 1,700 cases of Omicron variant of coronavirus have been detected across 23 states and Union Territories so far, out of which 639 have recovered or migrated, according to the Union health ministry’s data updated on Monday.

Maharashtra has recorded the maximum number of 510 cases, followed by Delhi (351), Kerala (156), Gujarat (136), Tamil Nadu (121) and Rajasthan (120). India’s Covid tally rose to 3,49,22,882 with 33,750 fresh cases, while the active cases increased to 1,45,582, according to the data updated at 8 am.
The death toll climbed to 4,81,893 with 123 more fatalities, the data showed.

The active cases have increased to 1,45,582 comprising 0.42 per cent of the total infections, while the national COVID-19 recovery rate was recorded at 98.20 per cent, the health ministry said. An increase of 22,781 cases has been recorded in the active COVID-19 caseload in a span of 24 hours.
However, India recorded 33,750 new COVID-19 cases, 123 deaths in the last 24 hours, pushing the total death toll to 4,81,893, as per data released by the Ministry of Health on Monday (January 3, 2022). The active cases stand at 1,45,582.
An increase of 22,781 cases has been recorded in the active COVID-19 caseload in a span of 24 hours. The country also recorded 10,846 recoveries today, taking the total number of recoveries to 3,42,95,407.

India logged 175 fresh Omicron infections, taking the total tally of such cases in the country to 1,700, according to the Union Health Ministry data. At least 639 have recovered, the Health Ministry said.
Maharashtra has recorded the highest number of Omicron cases at 510, followed by Delhi at 351, Kerala at 156, Gujarat at 136 and Tamil Nadu at 121.

A total of 23 states and Union territories have reported cases of the new variant, namely Telangana, Rajasthan, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Haryana, West Bengal, Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, Uttarakhand, Chandigarh, Jammu and Kashmir, Uttar Pradesh, Goa, Himachal Pradesh, Ladakh, Manipur and Punjab.

Additionally, the active cases comprised 1 percent of the total infections, while the national COVID-19 recovery rate was recorded at 98.2 percent, the health ministry said.
Meanwhile, with the administration of 23,30,706 vaccine doses in the last 24 hours, India`s COVID-19 vaccination coverage exceeded 145.68 Crore (1,45,68,89,306) as per provisional reports till 7 am today.